Friday, November 16, 2007

Electability

Here's an interesting series of polls. In Iowa, SurveyUSA has released results from the following head-to head match-ups:

Clinton 47%
Giuliani 43%

Clinton 49%
Romney 43%

Clinton 49%
Huckabee 43%

Clinton 44%
McCain 48%

Obama 52%
Giuliani 39%

Obama 53%
Romney 39%

Obama 56%
Huckabee 35%

Obama 50%
McCain 42%

The margin of error for these polls was +/- 4.2 or 4.3 percent.

What the surveys show is that--at least in Iowa at this moment--Barack Obama is more electable than Hillary Clinton. Indeed, in each survey in which Clinton leads, the results are within the margin of error. In Obama's case, however, only against McCain--who beats Hillary in the poll between them--do the results come within the margin of error, and then just barely.

It's also interesting, though perhaps not significant, that Clinton does not reach 50% in any of the match-ups. (Note, too, that none of the Repubs gets 50%.)

These are only snapshots, almost a year before Election Day. But they are interesting.

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