Thursday, August 16, 2007

Hillary stalling?

A new poll done for NBC in Iowa has John Edwards continuing to lead, with 30% of likely Democratic caucus voters backing him. Hillary Clinton (D-NY) is second at 21%, with Barack Obama (D-IL) just behind at 18%.

Edwards, who has been finishing third and well back in most national polls, has to be gratified with the results, but has to worry, too, that his Iowa backers are hearing about those surveys and will begin to believe that he can't win. Clinton, meanwhile, should be concerned that she's only slightly ahead of Obama.

Should Edwards' support dip in Iowa, who would pick up more of his voters, Clinton or Obama? My bet is on the Senator from the Land of Lincoln. (Remember, he's a neighbor from just across the Mississippi; that won't hurt him in Iowa.)


Leanderthal, Lighthouse Keeper said...

I'm a little surprised that Rove has been bashing Hillary. Some Rep's think she would be the easiest to beat.

I don't buy for a minute that Rove is retiring. Those people always have an agenda. As a lawyer, do you think Rove is more or less vulnerable to sworn testimony?

At this point I am an Obama supporter, but I'm concerned that he will let himself be sucked into playing Hillary's game. I posted on that a while back.

I'm also concerned that the Dems are asking to much of the American people to elect, for the first time, either a woman or a black man. You and I are not typical of the average American voter, whose view of the world is conservative, and by that I mean they don't want to through the baby out with the bath water. That's were shibboleths like this come from, the preponderance of a take-it-slow
psyche of 75% of people, according to the Organization for Psychological Type. This conservative view is a cultural thing, not a political thing.

Lighthouse Keeper

The Old New Englander said...

Some think Rove has been attacking Hillary in a kind of reverse-psychology, to make her more attractive to Democrats. The theory is that he thinks she's the easiest Democrat to beat.

But the rub is, the Repubs don't have anyone who makes even a half-decent candidate.