According to a Gallup poll, Hillary Clinton leads Barack Obama among black voters.
Right. Do you believe that Clinton will outpoll Obama among black voters in any Democratic primary, even New York's? If you do, you just might want to buy some waterfront property in Florida.
I don't doubt the Gallup poll. I do doubt that it accurately represents what will happen when the people actually vote.
As the politicians say (whether they believe it or not), the only poll that counts is the one on election day.
And this is why the conventional wisdom that Sen. Clinton has the nomination all but wrapped up is wrong. She may win it, she may even be the single most likely candidate among the Democrats to win it, but the race isn't over by a long shot.
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